|ALP CORE||FLOATERS||INDEPENDENT||LNP CORE|
|Balmain ????||Drummoyne||Lake Macquarie||Barwon|
|Bankstown||Gosford||Northern Tablelands||Baulkham Hills|
|East Hills||Blue Mountains||Hawkesbury|
|Macquarie Fields||Strathfield||North Shore|
|Wallsend||Upper Hunter||South Coast|
Second guessing the election seems a little hard at this stage. There are 93 seats, 31 essentially core ALP seats, 31 core coalition seats. there are 6 Independents who ean left or right and we presume will retain their seats. I am not sure about Heathcote – indeed I am not sure about anything, but fell like this which is possible, The the coalition will command 49 votes of the 93 which would allow them to form Government.
Balmain is interesting, not just for the cafe set, but because it is the seat most likely to return a green candidate. The fall of the seats in the middle will be the most interesting. I owe a debt to Anthony Green for his analysis which is eminently more profound than mine.
The flack from the Power sale and otrther issues in the campaign will no doubt influence the outcome.
Another issue that hits the press today is the question as to who is writing policy. On the one hand the already well canvassed on this site question of the power sale, and on the other isde the suggestion that the mining industry and the farmers federation are writing policy for the coalition.